Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 16.298692 18.988516 21.934299 25.393190 29.336352 33.684367 38.834559
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 12.538068 16.382331 21.030510 27.030462 34.532326 43.561365 55.206071
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 10.565270 15.097500 21.012655 29.216534 40.204297 54.303924 73.637933
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 8.611561 13.297333 19.827038 29.450162 43.099103 61.561067 88.170152
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 7.019589 11.624730 18.429776 29.011856 44.791466 67.128928 100.724948
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 5.715021 10.103028 16.949154 28.131613 45.579982 71.308188 111.497572
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 4.869933 9.137071 16.129935 28.066255 47.455039 77.088090 124.931727
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 4.239063 8.408149 15.558967 28.269042 49.684951 83.494144 139.723177
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 3.423824 7.202513 14.001595 26.606533 48.663565 84.659828 146.360109
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 3.123645 6.899621 13.967292 27.529230 51.999559 93.015585 165.038670
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.929696 6.768826 14.219234 28.970453 56.333930 103.313044 187.606713
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.518325 6.120817 13.400926 28.325895 56.871521 107.188474 199.625283
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.061665 5.315763 12.207397 26.912373 56.034444 108.920943 208.691282
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.954237 5.280788 12.591267 28.685941 61.435016 122.293439 239.467946
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.895766 5.350451 13.205677 31.002374 68.117849 138.542910 276.651793
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.685691 5.005644 12.859392 31.250964 70.706178 147.371945 300.891186
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.458309 4.566507 12.227516 30.788976 71.775777 153.366106 320.235417
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.237869 4.094682 11.438931 29.860279 71.743078 157.167270 335.610028
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.094365 3.806019 11.048681 29.791328 73.533235 164.699814 358.739711
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.982532 3.584992 10.793289 30.005316 75.956788 173.683417 385.344422
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.803490 3.110621 9.792085 28.250755 73.730367 172.833205 392.005018
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.752019 3.037349 9.868477 29.224611 77.918478 185.840398 428.006547
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.723141 3.034597 10.142967 30.745400 83.542478 202.329388 472.314266